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Red126
172631.9
943262.9
77035.0
Blue23
301915.0
318720.2
394420.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12252010015020012623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+85Teleop
+97Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +70
16Coral scored#1
56Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
74Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
7L3#1
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
6Foul points0
126Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.91.2
57.158.3
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
red by 42.2
3944
#32
20.73.2
19.215.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Second
31.92.0
27.329.3
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 11.7
3187
#26
20.23.2
20.016.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Third
7703
#36
5.02.0
17.319.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 10.0
3019
#29
15.01.9
12.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed