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Red132
247836.2
502661.8
240339.2
Blue35
683310.3
69815.1
553910.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1273505010015020013235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+77Teleop
+87Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#5
47Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
71Total teleop22
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
10Foul points0
132Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.8
50.251.0
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
red by 46.8
698
#30
15.10.7
17.616.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Second
2403
#14
39.20.8
27.828.6
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
red by 28.7
5539
#20
10.61.1
19.818.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Third
2478
#25
36.20.8
31.932.7
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
red by 25.9
6833
#42
10.31.1
7.86.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed