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Red103
905923.8
1038021.1
635231.4
Blue157
1050626.2
647933.9
441572.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541270100150200103157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
73Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points12
103Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#12
31.43.6
24.928.5
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
blue by 41.3
72.71.5
60.261.7
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
Second
9059
#27
23.82.2
15.517.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 10.1
6479
#10
33.91.5
27.328.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
Third
21.13.6
14.718.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
blue by 5.1
26.22.5
18.621.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned