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Red59
970419.0
1032717.8
315841.2
Blue76
641341.0
880624.7
385312.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659802040801201401605976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
59Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
41.20.2
33.533.7
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
red by 0.2
41.00.3
32.432.1
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
Second
9704
#33
19.00.2
10.310.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
blue by 5.7
8806
#13
24.70.3
22.321.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
Third
17.80.3
12.512.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 5.3
3853
#38
12.50.6
23.522.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed