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Red116
266213.4
49867.0
284011.8
Blue71
808716.6
10119.6
733321.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84540204010012014011671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
79Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points6
116Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
67.02.0
57.459.4
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 45.5
7333
#35
21.50.1
20.920.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Second
2662
#19
13.42.0
5.67.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 3.3
8087
#37
16.60.1
21.821.7
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Third
2840
#22
11.83.3
11.815.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 2.2
1011
#39
9.60.1
12.512.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed