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Red64
647933.9
1025618.9
318720.2
Blue60
977721.9
240339.2
683310.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805202040601001201401606460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
64Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#10
33.90.3
29.829.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
blue by 5.4
2403
#14
39.20.7
29.630.3
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
Second
3187
#26
20.20.4
22.221.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 1.7
9777
#21
21.91.1
16.217.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Third
18.90.4
16.015.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
red by 8.7
6833
#42
10.31.1
3.95.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed