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Red37
237531.6
553910.6
1038021.1
Blue94
116529.3
301915.0
172631.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8164020401001201401603794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
20Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
37Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#16
31.62.3
31.028.7
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
blue by 0.3
31.93.7
29.032.7
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Second
21.13.9
20.116.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
blue by 8.2
29.32.2
17.719.9
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Third
5539
#20
10.63.9
17.914.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.0
blue by 4.5
3019
#29
15.02.2
11.313.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned