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Red53
385312.5
943262.9
Blue67
909114.4
77559.5
247836.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045101505367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
1Coral scored#10
4Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
53Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.92.6
59.256.5
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
red by 26.8
2478
#25
36.20.9
32.333.2
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
Second
3853
#38
12.54.4
22.618.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 1.9
9091
#41
14.41.4
10.111.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End1.6
Third
8.92.6
10.57.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 0.5
7755
#15
9.50.9
11.612.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed