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Red84
970419.0
502661.8
357720.3
Blue49
1032717.8
266213.4
905923.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98370501502008449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+43Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
47Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
84Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.1
53.653.5
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
red by 38.1
9059
#27
23.80.0
20.320.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
20.30.1
18.718.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
red by 2.5
17.80.1
12.312.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Third
9704
#33
19.00.1
12.812.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
red by 5.7
2662
#19
13.40.0
11.011.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed