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Red97
10119.6
1050626.2
641341.0
Blue83
880624.7
733321.5
884819.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7980506070901001101209783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+20Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
77Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points6
97Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.2
34.435.7
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
red by 16.3
8806
#13
24.70.0
22.822.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
Second
26.22.1
22.524.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 4.8
7333
#35
21.50.0
19.919.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Third
1011
#39
9.62.1
13.715.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 10.3
8848
#28
19.90.0
25.225.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned