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Red103
69815.1
49867.0
414629.2
Blue129
394420.7
441572.7
315841.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101236080100140160180103129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
60Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
103Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
67.00.1
61.961.9
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
blue by 5.7
72.70.6
65.165.7
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
Second
4146
#18
29.20.1
23.623.5
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
blue by 12.0
3158
#11
41.20.6
34.535.0
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
Third
698
#30
15.10.1
18.318.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 5.7
3944
#32
20.70.9
15.116.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned