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Red91
909114.4
1038021.1
116529.3
Blue106
977721.9
943262.9
647933.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012505010015091106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+7
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
69Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
91Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.32.3
19.922.2
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
blue by 33.6
62.90.4
56.556.1
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
Second
21.13.9
16.220.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
blue by 12.7
6479
#10
33.90.4
29.529.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
Third
9091
#41
14.43.9
11.515.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End1.6
blue by 7.5
9777
#21
21.90.7
17.416.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned