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Red46
683310.3
808716.6
1025618.9
Blue57
172631.9
318720.2
284011.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3776020601001201401604657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points2
46Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.3
15.615.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
blue by 12.9
31.92.2
32.730.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Second
8087
#37
16.60.3
16.716.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End3.4
blue by 3.5
3187
#26
20.22.2
21.719.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Third
6833
#42
10.30.3
5.04.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 1.5
2840
#22
11.82.2
9.27.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed