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Red63
266213.4
247836.2
Blue97
240339.2
905923.8
301915.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557202040801001206397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
63Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#25
36.20.7
33.233.9
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
blue by 3.0
2403
#14
39.22.2
30.332.5
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
Second
2662
#19
13.40.7
11.011.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 10.4
9059
#27
23.82.2
20.322.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Third
8.90.7
7.98.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 6.1
3019
#29
15.02.2
13.615.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed