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Red59
1038021.1
394420.7
Blue144
315841.2
683310.3
519962.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3811305010015059144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+75
Endgame+83
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +54
9Coral scored#19
34Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
44Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#12
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points2
59Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.0
20.121.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
blue by 41.3
62.52.7
54.457.1
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
Second
3944
#32
20.71.0
14.815.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 20.5
3158
#11
41.22.7
36.939.6
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
Third
8.90.6
8.69.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 1.3
6833
#42
10.34.2
4.78.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned