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Red101
414629.2
647933.9
641341.0
Blue110
880624.7
121223.9
502661.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100120406080140160180200101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
6Processor points6
28Net points4
34Algae points10
75Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points6
101Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.2
37.537.3
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
blue by 20.8
61.80.3
55.054.7
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
Second
6479
#10
33.90.2
29.128.9
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
red by 9.2
8806
#13
24.70.3
24.724.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
Third
4146
#18
29.20.2
25.425.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 5.2
1212
#17
23.90.3
26.326.0
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned