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Red99
247836.2
884819.9
172631.9
Blue163
49867.0
441572.7
1032717.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891635010015020025099163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+50
Endgame+58
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave0
4Coral scored#11
19Coral points54
19Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
74Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
23Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points6
99Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#25
36.20.7
33.934.6
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
blue by 36.5
72.71.0
67.268.2
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
Second
31.91.0
30.531.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
blue by 35.1
498
#4
67.01.0
63.264.3
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Third
8848
#28
19.91.0
24.725.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 2.1
17.81.6
11.112.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned