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Red23
69815.1
77035.0
10119.6
Blue38
553910.6
77559.5
635231.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406602060801001202338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
8Total teleop6
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points12
23Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
698
#30
15.11.3
17.516.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 16.3
6352
#12
31.43.3
29.726.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
Second
1011
#39
9.62.0
14.212.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 0.9
5539
#20
10.63.3
16.213.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Third
7703
#36
5.02.0
11.19.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 4.5
7755
#15
9.52.1
11.59.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed