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Red78
1050626.2
977721.9
905923.8
Blue109
943262.9
394420.7
808716.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66101020408012014016078109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points38
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
63Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
78Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.4
23.925.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
blue by 36.7
62.91.5
56.057.5
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
Second
9059
#27
23.81.0
21.322.2
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 3.1
3944
#32
20.72.2
15.818.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Third
9777
#21
21.91.4
18.519.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.7
End2.7
red by 5.3
8087
#37
16.62.2
14.616.8
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned