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Red82
284011.8
519962.5
Blue131
266213.4
502661.8
647933.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010720406010012014016082131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
50Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
82Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.1
57.157.2
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
red by 0.6
61.82.2
54.756.8
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
Second
2840
#22
11.80.1
8.88.9
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 22.1
6479
#10
33.92.2
28.931.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
Third
8.90.1
9.29.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 4.4
2662
#19
13.42.2
11.613.8
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned