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Red102
641341.0
1032717.8
116529.3
Blue94
385312.5
683310.3
49867.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731025015010294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +35
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points29
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
72Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points18
102Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.8
37.339.1
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
blue by 26.0
498
#4
67.01.1
64.363.2
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
29.31.8
22.123.9
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
red by 16.9
3853
#38
12.51.6
16.515.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
17.82.6
12.715.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 7.5
6833
#42
10.31.6
8.97.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed