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Red67
247836.2
10119.6
318720.2
Blue68
357720.3
1038021.1
121223.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74764050607080901001106768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
45Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
67Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#25
36.20.6
34.634.0
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
red by 12.3
1212
#17
23.90.5
26.025.5
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Second
3187
#26
20.20.8
21.120.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 1.0
21.10.7
21.120.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
Third
1011
#39
9.60.8
12.111.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 10.7
20.30.7
19.118.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed