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Red45
884819.9
237531.6
301915.0
Blue55
970419.0
69815.1
880624.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865801001504555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points3
25Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
3Coral scored#5
10Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
16Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
45Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#16
31.61.9
31.529.7
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 6.9
8806
#13
24.70.0
24.424.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
Second
8848
#28
19.92.7
25.823.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 0.9
9704
#33
19.00.0
15.015.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
Third
3019
#29
15.01.9
15.713.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Level
698
#30
15.10.0
16.216.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned