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Red97
414629.2
240339.2
909114.4
Blue120
172631.9
977721.9
49867.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7013005010015020097120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
80Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
97Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#14
39.21.8
33.535.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
blue by 27.8
498
#4
67.00.4
63.263.5
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
4146
#18
29.21.8
25.427.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
blue by 2.7
31.90.5
31.732.2
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Third
9091
#41
14.42.3
11.814.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End1.6
blue by 7.5
9777
#21
21.90.5
19.820.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned