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Red135
733321.5
1038021.1
441572.7
Blue54
77035.0
385312.5
121223.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13847010015020013554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+73Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#6
67Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
91Total teleop36
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
135Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.8
68.469.2
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
red by 48.7
1212
#17
23.90.5
25.525.0
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Second
7333
#35
21.50.8
20.020.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.0
End1.9
red by 9.0
3853
#38
12.50.7
15.014.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
21.11.1
20.421.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
red by 16.2
7703
#36
5.00.7
7.26.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed