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Red73
635231.4
318720.2
683310.3
Blue82
301915.0
315841.2
69815.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617920401001207382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
42Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
73Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#12
31.41.7
26.328.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
blue by 9.8
3158
#11
41.20.8
39.740.5
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
Second
3187
#26
20.21.7
20.322.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 5.1
698
#30
15.10.8
16.117.0
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Third
6833
#42
10.31.7
7.49.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 4.7
3019
#29
15.00.8
13.814.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed