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Red100
237531.6
647933.9
905923.8
Blue26
10119.6
970419.0
884819.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9747015010026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+66Teleop
+68Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +58
16Coral scored#2
56Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
70Total teleop12
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
6Foul points0
100Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#10
33.90.5
31.131.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
red by 13.9
8848
#28
19.92.3
23.120.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Second
2375
#16
31.60.5
29.730.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 12.5
9704
#33
19.01.7
15.013.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
Third
9059
#27
23.80.5
22.222.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 14.2
1011
#39
9.62.3
11.39.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed