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Red156
502661.8
519962.5
1032717.8
Blue143
240339.2
1025618.9
49867.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811750100200250156143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
92Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
156Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.51.5
59.060.5
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
blue by 4.5
498
#4
67.02.0
63.565.5
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
61.81.5
58.960.4
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
red by 22.6
2403
#14
39.22.0
35.237.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
Third
17.81.8
16.017.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 1.1
18.92.4
14.316.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned