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Red88
284011.8
1050626.2
909114.4
Blue93
441572.7
77035.0
553910.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910602040801201401608893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
70Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
8Foul points0
88Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.2
26.126.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
blue by 46.4
72.71.3
69.267.9
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
Second
9091
#41
14.40.2
14.214.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End1.6
red by 3.8
5539
#20
10.61.6
12.110.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Third
2840
#22
11.80.2
11.611.8
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
red by 6.8
7703
#36
5.01.6
6.65.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned