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Red31
318720.2
385312.5
69815.1
Blue64
394420.7
414629.2
266213.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55632040801003164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
20Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#4
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
31Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3187
#26
20.21.8
22.020.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 9.0
4146
#18
29.20.3
27.227.5
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
Second
698
#30
15.11.5
17.015.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 5.7
3944
#32
20.70.4
18.719.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Third
3853
#38
12.51.8
14.312.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 0.9
2662
#19
13.40.3
13.013.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed