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Red64
301915.0
970419.0
683310.3
Blue90
808716.6
641341.0
357720.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349102060801001201401606490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+34
Endgame+36
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
38Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
12Foul points2
64Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9704
#33
19.01.0
13.314.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
blue by 22.0
41.00.8
40.941.7
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
Second
3019
#29
15.01.0
14.615.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
blue by 5.3
20.30.9
19.820.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Third
6833
#42
10.31.2
9.110.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 6.3
8087
#37
16.60.9
15.716.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed