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Red100
77559.5
315841.2
733321.5
Blue133
116529.3
247836.2
647933.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210650150200100133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
75Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#29
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
100Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
41.20.7
40.541.2
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
red by 5.0
2478
#25
36.21.7
35.136.8
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
Second
7333
#35
21.50.7
20.821.5
Auto3.6
Teleop16.0
End1.9
blue by 12.4
6479
#10
33.91.7
31.633.4
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
Third
7755
#15
9.50.7
8.89.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.4
blue by 19.9
29.31.7
26.027.7
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed