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Red78
1038021.1
172631.9
880624.7
Blue48
905923.8
10119.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1004102060801201401607848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
55Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
78Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.3
32.231.8
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 8.1
9059
#27
23.80.5
22.823.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
8806
#13
24.70.3
25.425.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
red by 15.1
1011
#39
9.60.6
9.09.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Third
21.10.3
21.521.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
red by 12.2
8.90.5
8.48.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed