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Red133
49867.0
394420.7
502661.8
Blue209
441572.7
970419.0
943262.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153154140150160170180190133209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+60
Endgame+82
Fouls+76
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +74
11Coral scored#29
41Coral points105
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
65Total teleop139
Reef
10L4#12
5L3#9
3L2#11
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +76
6Foul points0
133Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
67.00.4
66.065.6
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
blue by 5.7
72.71.4
69.470.8
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
Second
61.80.4
60.960.4
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
blue by 1.1
62.91.4
59.761.1
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
Third
3944
#32
20.70.5
19.619.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 1.7
9704
#33
19.01.4
15.817.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6