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Red135
240339.2
1025618.9
519962.5
Blue84
647933.9
905923.8
884819.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131785010015020013584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+33Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
81Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
135Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.4
61.061.5
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
red by 28.6
6479
#10
33.90.1
33.833.9
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
Second
2403
#14
39.20.4
37.838.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
red by 15.4
9059
#27
23.80.1
23.723.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Third
18.90.5
17.417.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
blue by 1.0
8848
#28
19.90.1
19.819.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3