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Red97
172631.9
237531.6
121223.9
Blue119
414629.2
635231.4
116529.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9496859010010511011597119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
18Processor points6
8Net points20
26Algae points26
67Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
97Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.3
31.631.9
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 0.5
6352
#12
31.40.8
30.631.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
Second
2375
#16
31.60.2
31.331.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 2.2
29.30.7
28.629.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Third
1212
#17
23.90.2
23.723.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
blue by 5.2
4146
#18
29.20.7
28.529.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9