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Red168
240339.2
1025618.9
519962.5
Blue79
301915.0
641341.0
247836.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271005015020016879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+59Teleop
+69Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
91Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +89
26Foul points6
168Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.6
60.561.1
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
red by 21.4
41.00.5
41.741.1
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
Second
2403
#14
39.20.6
37.237.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
red by 3.0
2478
#25
36.20.5
36.836.3
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
Third
18.90.7
16.717.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
red by 3.9
3019
#29
15.00.5
15.615.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6