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Red102
647933.9
905923.8
884819.9
Blue49
880624.7
69815.1
357720.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866205010015010249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+41Teleop
+39Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
70Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
14Foul points0
102Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#10
33.90.3
33.533.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
red by 9.2
8806
#13
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
Second
9059
#27
23.80.3
23.423.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 3.5
20.30.3
20.620.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Third
8848
#28
19.90.3
19.519.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 4.9
698
#30
15.10.3
15.315.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3