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Red121
414629.2
635231.4
116529.3
Blue93
301915.0
641341.0
247836.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96103608012014012193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+2
+12Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
57Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +28
18Foul points2
121Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#12
31.40.4
30.230.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
blue by 9.6
41.00.1
41.141.0
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
Second
29.30.4
28.328.6
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
blue by 6.8
2478
#25
36.20.1
36.336.2
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
Third
4146
#18
29.20.4
28.128.5
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 14.2
3019
#29
15.00.1
15.115.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6