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Red115
240347.4
943259.6
Blue89
116536.5
248647.0
2486B15.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710305015020011589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#12
60Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
78Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points2
115Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.1
59.159.1
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
red by 12.6
47.00.3
47.046.7
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
Second
47.40.1
47.046.9
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
red by 10.9
1165
#11
36.50.3
36.536.2
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
Third
6.20.1
5.65.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
blue by 9.6
15.70.4
16.115.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4