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Red153
240347.4
943259.6
Blue121
116536.5
248647.0
80128.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12397050150200250153121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#12
76Coral points44
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
106Total teleop82
Reef
12L4#6
4L3#5
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +32
4Foul points0
153Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.5
59.159.6
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
red by 12.6
47.00.3
46.747.0
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
Second
47.40.5
46.947.4
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
red by 10.9
1165
#11
36.50.3
36.236.5
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
Third
6.20.6
5.56.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
blue by 1.8
8012
#14
8.00.3
7.78.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2