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Red68
498B19.7
970414.9
248647.0
Blue74
1025617.6
240347.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141810501002002503003506874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
32Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
68Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.03.4
64.160.7
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
blue by 0.4
47.40.9
46.345.4
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
Second
19.75.9
24.430.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End2.8
red by 2.1
17.61.0
18.918.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End1.1
Third
14.93.4
19.015.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 8.7
6.26.8
7.514.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed