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Red88
237527.2
80128.0
1050628.0
Blue87
90918.7
116536.5
99993.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807102003004008887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
75Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
88Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
26.226.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
blue by 8.4
1165
#11
36.50.9
29.330.2
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
Second
27.20.3
31.631.9
Auto5.5
Teleop20.7
End1.0
red by 18.6
9091
#10
8.71.0
14.415.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
8012
#14
8.00.3
7.67.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2
red by 4.6
9999
#16DQ
3.41.5
15.016.5
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed