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Red71
77039.1
9968.7
116536.5
Blue96
943259.6
2486B15.7
1025617.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4514801002002503007196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
47Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points18
71Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#11
36.51.0
30.231.2
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
blue by 23.1
59.62.7
70.267.5
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
Second
9.11.1
5.06.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 8.5
17.62.7
18.015.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End1.1
Third
996
#13
8.71.0
15.416.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
blue by 7.1
15.715.5
10.325.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed