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Red96
1050628.0
77039.1
240347.4
Blue94
90918.7
943259.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841160501001502002509694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
76Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points4
96Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.0
45.446.4
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
blue by 12.2
59.60.7
67.566.9
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
Second
28.01.0
26.627.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 19.4
9091
#10
8.70.7
15.314.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
9.11.0
6.07.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
red by 2.9
6.21.1
14.313.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed