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Red50
80128.0
248647.0
90918.7
Blue48
2486B15.7
1050628.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987402003004005006005048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
23Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
50Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.02.4
56.554.1
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
red by 18.9
28.01.7
27.125.5
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Second
9091
#10
8.72.4
14.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 7.1
15.72.8
22.920.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Third
8012
#14
8.02.4
6.13.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2
red by 1.8
6.22.8
13.210.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed