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Red32
2486B15.7
77039.1
99993.4
Blue89
970414.9
240347.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33810501001503289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+57
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points4
14Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +48
2Coral scored#12
6Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
8Foul points18
32Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.5
20.118.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 31.6
47.40.2
47.146.9
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
Second
9.10.9
7.56.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 5.8
14.90.2
14.314.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Third
9999
#16DQ
3.41.5
6.55.0
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
blue by 2.8
6.20.4
10.510.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed