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Red50
237527.2
90918.7
2486B15.7
Blue119
943259.6
1025617.6
498B19.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58127010015020050119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+51
Endgame+63
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
37Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points6
50Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.9
27.226.2
Auto5.5
Teleop20.7
End1.0
blue by 32.3
59.60.2
63.063.1
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
Second
15.71.6
18.617.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 4.0
19.70.3
27.327.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
9091
#10
8.70.9
12.211.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 8.9
17.60.2
15.115.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned