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Red91
970414.9
943259.6
77039.1
Blue79
1050628.0
80128.0
116536.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102700501502002503003509179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
45Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
91Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.4
63.163.5
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
red by 23.1
1165
#11
36.51.0
33.234.2
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
Second
14.90.4
15.916.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 13.2
28.01.0
27.328.3
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Third
9.10.4
6.67.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8
red by 1.1
8012
#14
8.01.0
3.34.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed