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Red87
9968.7
240347.4
248647.0
Blue52
237527.2
99993.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137290501001502008752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points8
33Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +22
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
50Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
87Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.9
46.945.0
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
red by 20.2
27.20.5
26.226.7
Auto5.5
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Second
47.01.9
50.848.9
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
red by 40.8
6.20.8
4.45.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Third
996
#13
8.71.9
15.213.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
red by 5.3
9999
#16DQ
3.40.8
5.05.9
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed